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Duplex Ultrasonography to Predict Internal Carotid Artery Stenoses Exceeding 50% and 70% as Defined by NASCET: The Need for Multiple Criteria

Seth W. Wolk, MD

Charles J. Shanley, MD

Richard M. Lampman, PhD

Departments of Surgery, St. Joseph Mercy Hospital, Ann Arbor and School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan

James E. Knake, MD

Department of Radiology, St. Joseph Mercy Hospital, Ann Arbor; School of Public Health, Ann Arbor

Leslie A. Lange, MS

Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan

Errol E. Erlandson, MD

Walter M. Whitehouse, Jr, MD

Departments of Surgery, St. Joseph Mercy Hospital, Ann Arbor and School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan

Carotid duplex scanning is being used more frequently as the sole preoperative diagnostic imaging modality for patients considered candidates for carotid endarterectomy. The North American Symptomatic Carotid Endarterectomy Trial (NASCET) has demonstrated the benefit of surgical treatment in patients with carotid stenoses exceeding 70%. The purpose of this study was to determine duplex criteria that accurately predict carotid stenoses exceeding 50% and 70% as defined by NASCET arteriographic criteria. One hundred forty-one patients (264 carotid arteries) considered surgical candidates were prospectively studied over a 2-year period by use of both duplex scanning and digital subtraction cerebral arteriography. Carotid artery stenosis was determined by a single radiologist using NASCET arteriographic criteria. Peak systolic velocity (PSV) and enddiastolic velocity (EDV) were measured in the internal carotid (ICA) and common carotid (CCA) arteries by use of duplex scanning. ICA/CCA velocity ratios were calculated for PSV and EDV. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy were calculated. PSVICA/CCA provided the highest sensitivity, and EDVICA the highest specificity in this study. Arteriographic stenoses exceeding 50% and 70% were reliably predicted with use of these duplex criteria. It is concluded that duplex criteria can predict carotid stenoses exceeding 50% and 70% as defined by NASCET arteriographic criteria. These criteria should be independently validated by other vascular laboratories.

Vascular and Endovascular Surgery, Vol. 33, No. 5, 497-506 (1999)
DOI: 10.1177/153857449903300508


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